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Almost 15 years ago, in “The Work of Nations,” I described a three-tiered work force found in most advanced economies. At the bottom were workers who offer personal service, mainly in retail outlets, restaurants, hotels and hospitals. In the middle were production workers in factories or offices, performing simple, repetitive tasks. At the top were “symbolic analysts”, like engineers or lawyers, who manipulate information to solve problems. Educated to think critically, almost all have university degrees. They were the knowledge workers of the new economy.
I predicted that advances in technology, and globalization, would widen the gaps in income and opportunity between these tiers. What I didn’t predict was that the three tiers would change shape so dramatically. The top and bottom tiers are growing, and the middle shrinking, much faster than I expected. Symbolic analysts now make up more than a fifth of all jobs in advanced economies, up from about 15 percent 15 years ago. Their incomes in developing economies are soaring, relative to other workers’.
Two different groups of symbolic analysts are emerging: national and global. Most symbolic analysts still work within a national economy, manipulating various kinds of symbols with the aid of computers. They’re at the core of their nations’ middle class—accountants, engineers, lawyers, journalists and other university-trained professionals.
Yet a new group is emerging at the very top. They’re CEOs and CFOs of global corporations, and partners and executives in global investment banks, law firms and consultancies. Unlike most national symbolic analysts, these global symbolic analysts conduct almost all their work in English, and share with one another an increasingly similar cosmopolitan culture.
There’s a good economic reason that this group of global symbolic analysts emerged. Global commerce is now occurring on a scale and with a complexity that no commercial contract can adequately cover and no single legal system can sufficiently enforce. Hence, global dealmakers must rely to an ever greater extent on an extended network of people whom they trust.
The fears of national symbolic analysts are premature. The demand for their skills is still rising, notwithstanding the new competition. The earnings of university graduates in the United States and most advanced economies continue to outpace the earnings of those with only secondary-school diplomas, and the earnings of people with graduate and professional degrees are rising even faster. If demand for symbolic analysts were dropping, we would expect the opposite.
Yet unless the advanced economies invest more in education and basic R&D, they could lose their global lead in science, engineering and high-value-added production within a few decades. China and India are now graduating more engineers and computer scientists than are emerging from American and European universities. At some point, national symbolic analysts in advanced economies will lose ground. Their global brethren, meanwhile, will continue to dominate global commerce. The income and wealth gap between them will widen into a chasm. They will live, literally, in different cultures.
1. In what way is the prediction made by the author 15 years ago flawed?
2. In what way has the three tiers changed shape in developed countries?
3. The emergence of the global symbolic analysts is mainly attributable to the ______.
4. The author advises advanced countries that want to keep their competitive advantage to ______.
5. The author implies in the text that ______.

问题1选项
A.The income gaps between the tiers are not widening.
B.Advances in technology create a fourth tier on the top.
C.The income gap between the middle and top tiers is made wider.
D.The knowledge workers become the largest group of the workforce.
问题2选项
A.The number of manufacturing workers is on the decline.
B.The symbolic analysts have become the dominant work force.
C.The number of people in service industry remains stable.
D.The computer workers receive the larger salaries than other workers.
问题3选项
A.popularity of the English language
B.increased transnational business transaction
C.lack of suitable law applicable to global dealings
D.emergence of a global culture
问题4选项
A.narrow down the income gaps between tiers of the workforce
B.give national symbolic analysts cons
C.pay due attention to the rise of global symbolic analysts
D.stream more money into education and research
问题5选项
A.a four-tiered classification is more suitable for picturing the present work force
B.national symbolic analysts will play a vital role in the upcoming globalization
C.graduates from Chinese and Indian universities will be valued in advanced economies
D.engineers and computer scientists will play different roles in different cultures
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