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In 19th-century America, men of marriageable age outnumbered women. This is in part because the immigrant stream was heavily male and because many young women died in childbirth. Changes in immigration and mortality now mean that the reverse is true. In 1890 there were 107 males for every 100 females in the 20-to 44-year-old group, but in 2002 the ratio had dropped to 98 per 100.
The present imbalance has led to exaggerated reports of female marriage prospects. For example, a widely publicized report in 1986 claimed that a white college-educated woman still single at 35 had a 5 percent chance of marrying; at 40, her chances declined to 1 percent. The conclusion seemed credible because it fed the stereotype that women who have a college degree have trouble finding a husband—a notion apparently originating in the late 19th century when marriage by female college graduates was low. A far more reliable forecast, based on more sophisticated analyses, comes from two Princeton University demographers, Joshua R. Goldstein and Catherine T. Kenney, who estimate that 97 percent of white female college graduates born between 1960 and 1964 will eventually marry.
Census data bolster their finding. Most women do not face a permanent single life but rather a delay in marriage. Evidence shows that for all women aged 25 to 29 in 2002, 61 per cent had ever married, compared with an average of 76 percent from 1890 to 1940. Among women who were 35 to 44 years old in 2002, however, 87 percent had married, only slightly less than the 89 percent recorded for the 1890 to 1940 period. Since the mid-1800s, more than 90 percent of women have eventually found husbands, and there is no reason to believe that the current generation of women will deviate much from this norm.
Besides the shortage of men, other factors have led to the postponement of marriage, including the increasing pursuit of higher education by women, and the resurgence of feminism in the 1960s. According to one theory, the steep rise beginning in about 1970 in the number of women in professional schools resulted from the greater availability of birth control methods. Another deterrent to marriage is lack of information: when in school, women could easily meet and, with the help of friends, evaluate men, but such opportunities tend to diminish as women delay marriage.
Marriage rate is lowest among black women without a college degree: only 60 percent born between 1960 and 1964 will ever marry, according to Goldstein and Kenney’s projection. Large numbers of black women have children out of wedlock, a circumstance that bears some relation to the scarcity of black men. Other elements have depleted the ranks of eligible men, including higher than average mortality rates, very high imprisonment rates and unavailability of good-paying jobs. Several studies suggest that welfare does not play a major role in lowering the black female marriage rate.
1. One reason for the unbalanced gender ratio in the US in the 1800s was that ________.
2. According to the author, which of the following is more credible?
3. The word bolster in Paragraph 3 means ________.
4. Which of the following is a cause for women’s delay of marriage?
5. Which of the following statements is true about black women?

问题1选项
A.more baby girls than boys died when they were born
B.there were more male than female immigrants
C.mortality of male immigrants had gradually decreased
D.the number of deaths of women in childbirth went down
问题2选项
A.The notion originating in the late 19th century.
B.The widely publicized report in 1986.
C.The stereotype about women with a college degree.
D.The projection made by Goldstein and Kenney.
问题3选项
A.test
B.approve
C.illustrate
D.support
问题4选项
A.Shortage of men with college education.
B.Women’s Liberation Movement in the 1960s.
C.Reluctance to have children early.
D.Unbalanced sex ratio in professional schools.
问题5选项
A.Many black women are unmarried mothers.
B.They have higher than average death rate in childbirth.
C.Without college education they cannot find well-paid jobs.
D.Their low marriage rate is chiefly a result of poor welfare.
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