2026考研英语二图表作文预测（二）

预测二：中国老年人口 (65岁及以上) 抚养比变化 (2000-2025)

注: 抚养比指每100名劳动年龄人口要负担的老年人口数。

Directions: Write an essay based on the chart below. In your essay, you should

1) describe and interpret the chart,

2) and give your comments.

Write your answer in about 150 words.

参考范文：

The chart vividly illustrates the significant change in the elderly dependency ratio in China from 2000 to 2020, with a projection for 2025. The ratio, which indicates the number of elderly people per 100 working-age individuals, stood at 11.9 in 2000. It then climbed steadily to 19.7 in 2010 and further to 25 in 2020. This upward trend is expected to continue, reaching 30 by 2025.

Two key factors contribute to this trend. On the one hand, it is a direct consequence of the declining birth rates and the previously implemented one-child policy, which have led to a smaller working-age population. On the other hand, significant advancements in healthcare and living standards have resulted in increased life expectancy, expanding the elderly population. This creates a double pressure on the social welfare and healthcare systems.

In conclusion, the soaring elderly dependency ratio presents a great challenge to sustainable economic and social development. It is imperative for the government to implement comprehensive strategies, including encouraging higher birth rates and improving the pension system, to address the implications of an aging society effectively.

译文：

该图表清晰地揭示了中国老年抚养比从2000年到2020年的显著变化，并对2025年作出预测。该比率指的是每100名劳动年龄人口需要抚养的老年人口数量，在2000年为11.9，随后稳步上升至2010年的19.7，并在2020年达到25。这一上升趋势预计将持续，到2025年将达到30。

两个关键因素共同推动了这一趋势。一方面，出生率下降及先前实施的独生子女政策直接导致了劳动年龄人口规模缩减。另一方面，医疗水平与生活标准的显著提升带来人均寿命延长，使得老年人口规模持续扩大。这对社会福利和医疗体系构成了双重压力。

总之，持续攀升的老年抚养比对经济社会可持续发展构成巨大挑战。政府亟需实施包括鼓励生育和完善养老体系在内的综合策略，以有效应对老龄化社会带来的各种影响。

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